Monday, March 19, 2012

Financial Repression in the Form of Negative Rates


On 13th of March FED announced that it will hold its interest rate policy id est keeping fund rates between 0 and 0.25 percent. Before it, many economists stated that FED’s current monetary policy resembles financial repression. The main concerns are about negative real interest rates.
Being a lender to governments or to central banks is deemed as the most riskless lending in conventional literature.  But not in crises times. During boom periods even governments or central banks of advanced economies are running beyond threshold of secure debt burdening and when a crises, in its all forms, knock the door it turns out that there is a substantial debt overhung.  In that case supreme authorities tend to manipulate their debts with the form of hidden taxation which enables them to liquidate debt overhang and to ease the burden of servicing the debt.
Such manipulations or policies known as financial repression can be observed when there are consistent negative real interest rates (yielding less than the rate of inflation) and this is equivalent to a tax on bondholders or generally savers.  Negative interest rates help governments to reduce deficit and liquidate the debt they have in their own favor.  Negative interest rates are usually accompanied by expansive monetary policy and high central bank intervention into economy.


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